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Cryptoanalytic's avatar

Scenario 3 being "a weak mandate and gridlock" possibly the best of all worlds.

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Sean West's avatar

It’s true - that’s not necessarily a risk. In fact it’s a scenario markets generally prefer, though they would prefer candy from Trump in the form of tax cuts and deregulation instead.

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Glenn Tuley's avatar

Not unprecedented. LBJ realized he couldn't win in April. It took Joe until July to be convinced.

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Sean West's avatar

Strictly speaking, you are right to cite the case of LBJ. But it's nearly August. I can count the hours until the Democratic convention and we're still not 100% sure who is even in the running. This feels different.

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Glenn Tuley's avatar

This time definitely is different.

About 30 Million dollars says Harris has to be on the ticket, but if Obama and the donors don't think she has a chance of winning, that might not matter.

On the other hand, if Joe resigns, she would be the incumbent. Will someone pay Joe to resign?

The Convention will be interesting to watch...

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